Executive Summary:
Due to large amounts of instability, low levels of democracy, high corruption levels, and a somewhat difficult level of conducting business, it islikely that
NSA play a minimal role withinZimbabwe, which is represented by its score of 2 on the Extra-Government side of the Role Potential spectrum. This score shows that NSA that do have influence either have the government’s support or the government is unable to mitigate their source of influence over them. However, within the next five years, it is likely that the role NSA play within
Zimbabwe will likely decrease and play little to no role within the country. This is primarily due to continued government initiatives to gain more control over the country and close organizations they find threatening to their power, as well as a consistent decline in the economy and business sector.
Comment: (Optional, only used when indicated by special circumstance)
President Mugabe is the central authority figure in Zimbabwe. If Mugabe is deposed or dies it is highly likely that the socio-political environment of Zimbabwe will experience a highly significant shift toward the Extra-Government side of the Role Potential spectrum. To be sure, Mugabe’s demise is highly likely to precede a dissent into a state that more resembles anarchy.
Country Name
Executive Summary:
Due to large amounts of instability, low levels of democracy, high corruption levels, and a somewhat difficult level of conducting business, it is likely that
NSA play a minimal role within Zimbabwe, which is represented by its score of 2 on the Extra-Government side of the Role Potential spectrum. This score shows that NSA that do have influence either have the government’s support or the government is unable to mitigate their source of influence over them. However, within the next five years, it is likely that the role NSA play within
Zimbabwe will likely decrease and play little to no role within the country. This is primarily due to continued government initiatives to gain more control over the country and close organizations they find threatening to their power, as well as a consistent decline in the economy and business sector.Comment: (Optional, only used when indicated by special circumstance)
President Mugabe is the central authority figure in Zimbabwe. If Mugabe is deposed or dies it is highly likely that the socio-political environment of Zimbabwe will experience a highly significant shift toward the Extra-Government side of the Role Potential spectrum. To be sure, Mugabe’s demise is highly likely to precede a dissent into a state that more resembles anarchy.
Analytic Confidence: 7
Source Reliability: 9